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Asian Markets Show Restraint as Central Bank Meetings Approach; Nikkei Leads Amid BOJ Speculation

Asian markets exhibited caution on Monday ahead of pivotal central bank meetings scheduled later in the week, with investors closely monitoring announcements from the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan (BOJ).

The sentiment was tempered by modest economic data from China, where sluggish growth persisted as the region’s largest economy grappled with challenges.

The looming Federal Reserve meeting was a focal point for investors, who awaited any signals from the central bank, particularly in response to stronger-than-expected U.S. inflation data. U.S. stock index futures remained subdued during Asian trading hours.

Despite widespread speculation that the Bank of Japan was considering a departure from its negative interest rates and yield curve control policies, Japanese shares notably outperformed their regional counterparts.

Japanese Stocks Surge Ahead of BOJ Meeting

Japan’s benchmark Nikkei 225 index surged over 2% on Monday, while the broader TOPIX index advanced by 1.6%, reclaiming lost ground from the previous week’s declines.

The rally was driven by widespread gains, particularly in consumer-oriented stocks buoyed by prospects of rising wages in the country. Notably, leading automobile manufacturers Honda Motor Co Ltd and Nissan Motor Co., Ltd. saw significant increases following reports of a collaboration to develop electric vehicles.

Despite mounting expectations of a shift in BOJ’s monetary policies, Japanese stocks rallied ahead of the central bank’s two-day meeting, with analysts divided over the possibility of a rate hike either in March or April.

The potential policy adjustment marks a notable departure from nearly a decade of accommodative monetary policies, signaling growing confidence in Japan’s economic outlook, particularly highlighted by significant wage increases secured by Japanese unions this year.

Mixed Data from China and Hong Kong

Chinese stocks experienced mixed performance, with the Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 and Shanghai Composite indexes edging up by 0.5% and 0.4%, respectively. Positive industrial production data for January-February offset concerns over slowing consumption and unexpected rises in unemployment and lower-than-expected retail sales growth.

Meanwhile, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index slipped 0.3%, driven by losses in mainland stocks.

Other Asian Markets

Australia’s ASX 200 index remained relatively unchanged ahead of the Reserve Bank of Australia’s meeting on Tuesday, where interest rates are expected to remain steady amid persistent inflationary pressures.

South Korea’s KOSPI index rose by 0.4%, while futures for India’s Nifty 50 index indicated a soft opening as investors exercised caution, opting to secure profits from earlier record highs achieved in March.